Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.098519 0.110505 0.123890 0.140044 0.159142 0.181169 0.208735
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.083335 0.099871 0.120098 0.147097 0.182868 0.229656 0.297276
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.072237 0.091016 0.115666 0.151359 0.203458 0.279772 0.406477
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.063859 0.083673 0.111184 0.153791 0.221387 0.331091 0.539363
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.057025 0.077078 0.106209 0.153914 0.235224 0.379935 0.692291
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.051185 0.070927 0.100677 0.151705 0.244183 0.422863 0.858246
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.047713 0.067743 0.099040 0.155297 0.263964 0.493431 1.136105
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.043623 0.063067 0.094285 0.152446 0.270566 0.538721 1.385973
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.040965 0.060331 0.092308 0.154170 0.286771 0.613083 1.802244
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.038201 0.057114 0.089069 0.152859 0.296022 0.674287 2.250658
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.036380 0.055270 0.087986 0.155568 0.315212 0.773098 3.025456
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034880 0.053816 0.087405 0.159167 0.337664 0.895538 4.208008
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032985 0.051539 0.085105 0.158870 0.350626 0.997364 5.602013
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.031574 0.050002 0.084052 0.161204 0.371824 1.147224 8.090208
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030286 0.048573 0.083046 0.163486 0.393897 1.321639 12.113421
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.029048 0.047129 0.081848 0.165111 0.414770 1.513272 18.645952
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027740 0.045450 0.079990 0.164799 0.429499 1.692186 28.396030
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026347 0.043505 0.077392 0.162196 0.435759 1.833595 41.539403
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025612 0.042767 0.077267 0.166046 0.466836 2.176322 85.884281
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024378 0.040971 0.074693 0.162896 0.470619 2.338776 140.463544
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023618 0.040058 0.073970 0.164767 0.495328 2.712304 363.628783
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.022674 0.038716 0.072174 0.163329 0.506083 2.992750 956.515745
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022096 0.038074 0.071901 0.166287 0.537570 3.558207 9726.595710